The Economist and Fareed Zakaria GPS asks
Will the UK hold a referendum vote on its relationship with the EU or a snap general election before 29 March 2019?
Started
Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Mar 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Brexit developments have intensified as the official leave date nears (The Economist, The Financial Times, The Guardian).
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This question closed as "No" with an end date of 30 March 2019. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
No | 91% | |
Yes, only a snap general election | 6% | |
Yes, only a referendum on its relationship with the EU | 3% | |
Yes, both | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 1410 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2118 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |