Started Dec 14, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will General Motors launch a ride-hailing service open to the public in the U.S. which uses autonomous vehicles?

General Motors and its subsidiary Cruise Automation have announced intentions to launch a ride-hailing service somewhere in the U.S. in 2019 (GM Authority). GM plans to use a version of the Chevy Bolt built without a steering wheel for the service (Detroit News, Driven, IEEE Spectrum). However, technical and regulatory hurdles remain (Reuters, San Francisco Chronicle). A service which requires rider prescreening or registration before use will count. A service that operates along a fixed route will not count.

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Name Probability
Yes, using only vehicles with steering wheels 5%
Yes, using only vehicles without steering wheels 0%
Yes, using at least some vehicles without steering wheels 0%
No 95%

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