Nesta asks
Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 July 2019?
Started
Dec 21, 2018 11:00AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
UK prime minister Theresa May faces a number of leadership challenges as she attempts to navigate Brexit (BBC, Politico)
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, someone from the Conservative Party | 11% | |
| Yes, someone from the Labour Party | 0% | |
| Yes, someone from a party other than the Labour or Conservative Parties | 0% | |
| No | 89% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 2696 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 4260 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 464 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
