When will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela?

Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

President Maduro faces an ongoing political and economic crisis in Venezuela (Fortune, The Washington Post, Miami Herald). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help..


The question closed "Not before 1 January 2020" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 April 2019 0%
Between 1 April 2019 and 30 June 2019, inclusive 0%
Between 1 July 2019 and 30 September 2019, inclusive 0%
Between 1 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, inclusive 0%
Not before 1 January 2020 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 465
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1825
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.132337
2.
-0.131258
3.
-0.130923
4.
-0.13084
5.
-0.13084

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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