Before 1 January 2020, will the UK and the EU adopt an agreement on which customs territory Northern Ireland will be located in after the end of any Brexit transition period?
Started
Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The status of Northern Ireland after the planned Brexit has become a focal point of negotiations between the UK and the EU (BBC, European Commission). Adoption of a temporary (e.g., "backstop") or a permanent solution will count.
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The question closed as "No" with an end date of 1 January 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | |
| Yes, the United Kingdom's customs territory only | 0% | |
| Yes, the European Union's customs territory only | 0% | |
| Yes, a single customs territory that includes both the European Union and the United Kingdom | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 431 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 876 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
