Question 38 of 46 in In The News 2019
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2020, will the UK and the EU adopt an agreement on which customs territory Northern Ireland will be located in after the end of any Brexit transition period?

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The status of Northern Ireland after the planned Brexit has become a focal point of negotiations between the UK and the EU (BBC, European Commission). Adoption of a temporary (e.g., "backstop") or a permanent solution will count.

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Name Probability
No 87%
Yes, the United Kingdom's customs territory only 5%
Yes, the European Union's customs territory only 2%
Yes, a single customs territory that includes both the European Union and the United Kingdom 6%

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