The Economist asks

Will China's National People's Congress or its Standing Committee pass a property tax law before 1 October 2019?

Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

China's National People's Congress Standing Committee has initiated the legislative process to codify property taxes into law, with large implications for China's $44 trillion real estate market (The Economist, NPC Observer, Global Times, SCMP).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 4.50%
No 95.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 320
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 618
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.331
4.
-0.309
5.
-0.305

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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