The Economist Fareed Zakaria GPS asks
Will Narendra Modi be appointed to a second consecutive term as prime minister of India after the 2019 general elections?
Started
Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 25, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 25, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Narendra Modi, the leader of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), has served as prime minister of India since 2014 (The Economist, Inter-Parliamentary Union). General elections for the Lok Sabha are due to be held in April and May 2019 (Aljazeera). If no prime minister has been appointed by 1 October 2019, the question will be closed as no.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 25 May 2019 (India Today).
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 81.00% | |
No | 19.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 1431 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1864 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |