The Economist   Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Narendra Modi be appointed to a second consecutive term as prime minister of India after the 2019 general elections?

Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 25, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Narendra Modi, the leader of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), has served as prime minister of India since 2014 (The Economist, Inter-Parliamentary Union). General elections for the Lok Sabha are due to be held in April and May 2019 (Aljazeera). If no prime minister has been appointed by 1 October 2019, the question will be closed as no. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 25 May 2019 (India Today).  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 81.00%
No 19.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1431
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1864
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.158
2.
-0.156
5.
-0.149

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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