Which major stock exchange index among the four "Asian Tiger" economies will perform best between 10 January 2019 and 28 June 2019?

Started Jan 11, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan have become known as the four "Asian Tigers" (iDeals Virtual Data Room, South China Morning Post, Investopedia). Outcome will be determined using data from Bloomberg, by dividing the end-of-day closing values for 28 June 2019 by the end-of-day closing values for 10 January 2019, which were: Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (Bloomberg): 26,521.43 Singapore's Straits Times Index (Bloomberg): 3,183.51 South Korea's KOSPI (Bloomberg): 2,063.28 Taiwan's Stock Exchange Weighted Index (Bloomberg): 9,720.69 Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed 'Taiwan's Stock Exchange Weighted Index' with a closing date of 28 June 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index 16%
Singapore's Straits Times Index 3%
South Korea's KOSPI 2%
Taiwan's Stock Exchange Weighted Index 79%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 213
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 644
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.908
2.
-0.716
3.
-0.675
4.
-0.633
5.
-0.611

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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