In Manhattan Community Access Corp. v. Halleck, will the Supreme Court rule that the Manhattan Neighborhood Network is a public forum for First Amendment purposes?

Started Jan 11, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 17, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Tags
Society  

A suit over First Amendment rights violations was dismissed by the district court, concluding that First Amendment protections do not apply to Manhattan Neighborhood Network because it is not a public forum and its employees are not state actors (Reuters, Oyez, SCOTUSBlog). The appeals court reversed in part, ruling that public access TV channels in Manhattan are public forums and the case should proceed (SCOTUSBlog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 17 June 2019 (SCOTUS).  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 60.00%
No 40.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 80
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 142
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.795
2.
-0.615
3.
-0.458
5.
-0.325

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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