Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 16, 2019 07:59AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 21 October 2019 (CTV News, Maclean's). The question will close as "no" if, once the election outcome is known, Trudeau retains the prime ministership.

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NOTE: this question will not be included with final scoring for the Finance Forecasting Challenge


Name Probability
Yes 40%

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