Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 21 October 2019 (CTV News, Maclean's). The question will close as "no" if, once the election outcome is known, Trudeau retains the prime ministership. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 22 October 2019.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 37.00%
No 63.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1059
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1929
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.236297
2.
-0.236297
3.
-0.236297
4.
-0.236117
5.
-0.235251

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username