The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will Tesla release an Autopilot feature designed to navigate traffic lights?

Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has expressed interest in adding a feature to navigate city streets, including traffic lights (Ars Technica, The Drive). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 4.50%
No 95.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 279
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 588
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.115645
2.
-0.115358
4.
-0.11016
5.
-0.108814

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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