Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Mick Mulvaney cease to be White House Chief of Staff before 1 January 2020?

Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

In December 2018, President Trump announced that Office of Management and Budget Director Mick Mulvaney would replace, in an acting capacity, outgoing Chief of Staff John Kelly (CNN). For the purposes of this question, Mulvaney will be considered the Chief of Staff whether in a permanent or acting capacity (Politico). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 25.00%
No 75.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1024
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1956
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.917
2.
-0.915
3.
-0.906
4.
-0.894
5.
-0.875

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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