Which film will win the 2019 Academy Award for Directing?

Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 24, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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The 91st Academy Awards are scheduled to take place Sunday 24 February 2019 (Oscars 2019). In the event of a tie, the question will close based on the film with the higher box office gross per Box Office Mojo.

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Roma (Alfonso Cuarón) won for Directing on 24 February 2019. https://oscar.go.com/winners 

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
BlacKkKlansman (Spike Lee) 6%
Cold War (Pawel Pawlikowski) 0%
The Favourite (Yorgos Lanthimos) 0%
Roma (Alfonso Cuarón) 94%
Vice (Adam McKay) 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 38
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.525
2.
-0.302
3.
-0.236
4.
-0.188
5.
-0.157

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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