Between 15 February 2019 and 31 October 2019, which company from among Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft will first reach an end-of-day market capitalization of $1 trillion?
Closed Apr 30, 2019 05:00PM UTC
After Apple and Amazon each crossed the trillion-dollar threshold in 2018, tech companies have seen declines in their market capitalization (Financial Times, CNBC). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" reported by Bloomberg for Alphabet (Bloomberg), Amazon (Bloomberg), Apple (Bloomberg), and Microsoft (Bloomberg). If two or more companies reach an end-of-day market capitalization of $1 trillion on the same day, the question will resolve on the company with the higher market capitalization.
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Microsoft Corporation closed above $1 trillion in market capitalization on 30 April 2019 (https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/MSFT:US).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Alphabet | 0% | |
| Amazon | 30% | |
| Apple | 26% | |
| Microsoft | 44% | |
| None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 195 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 490 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
