The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 July 2019, will AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile, or Verizon offer 5G smartphones to US customers?

Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 28, 2019 05:00PM UTC

The development of 5G capabilities for smartphones is a step on the way to advanced use of cellular communications in autonomous vehicles (Reuters, Tom's Guide, Digital Trends). Smartphones with physical 5G add-on capabilities (e.g., Verizon's Moto Z3) will not count unless the required physical add-ons are also offered. For the purposes of this question, should the merger between Sprint and T-Mobile close the companies will continue to be counted separately.


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The question closed as "Yes, all 4 of the companies" with a closing date of 28 June 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
No 0%
Yes, 1 of the companies 0%
Yes, 2 of the companies 17%
Yes, 3 of the companies 83%
Yes, all 4 of the companies 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 159
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 397
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.730287
2.
-0.687928
3.
-0.680078
4.
-0.661631
5.
-0.656883

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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