Before 1 August 2019, will Citgo Petroleum Corporation or any of its wholly-owned subsidiaries (Citgo) file for bankruptcy protection in the United States?

Started Mar 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

While Citgo, owned by Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA, is distancing itself from PDVSA on many levels in an effort to avoid U.S. sanctions, the firm faces other obstacles CNBC, U.S Treasury, Reuters, Wall Street Journal ). There has been speculation that Citgo may file for bankruptcy protection, which the company has denied (Yahoo, Reuters).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 August 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.00%
No 98.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 213
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 430
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.081
3.
-0.075
4.
-0.074
5.
-0.07

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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