The Mack Institute asks
Between 8 March and 31 December 2019, how many accidents involving a self-driving vehicle operating in autonomous mode in the U.S. will result in a fatality?
Started
Mar 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Accidents involving autonomous vehicles can occur due to both human error and technical fault (Digital Trends, CNET). For this question, vehicles include cars, SUVs, trucks, minivans, vans, etc.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.The question closed "0 accidents" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 0 accidents | 94% | |
| 1 accident | 6% | |
| 2 accidents | 0% | |
| 3 accidents | 0% | |
| 4 accidents or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 325 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 666 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
