The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will Velodyne announce the release of a LiDAR unit with a maximum range of 400 meters or more?

Started Mar 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

LiDAR, short for "light radar", has been called "the most important piece of hardware in the race to unlock self-driving cars for everybody" (Wired, Ars Technica, Design News). Velodyne is a leading company in the development of this type of technology. Its VLS-128, or Alpha Puck, released in 2017, has a maximum range of 300 meters (The Verge, News Atlas). Outcome will be determined by Velodyne's NewsRoom. The actual release of the LiDAR unit is not required for a yes resolution.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 124
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 324
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username