The Economist ask
What percentage of votes will the African National Congress win in South Africa's next election for the National Assembly?
Started
Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 08, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed May 08, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The African National Congress has been the governing party in South Africa since 1994, and incumbent president Cyril Ramaphosa hopes to consolidate his authority via the upcoming general elections scheduled for 8 May 2019 (The Economist, Council on Foreign Relations, Independent Online).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.This question closed with "Between 50.00% and 60.00%, inclusive" with an end date of 8 May 2019 (https://www.news24.com/Elections/News/live-vote-counting-nears-end-iec-set-to-announce-results-by-afternoon-20190511).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 50.00% | 8% | |
| Between 50.00% and 60.00%, inclusive | 67% | |
| More than 60.00% | 25% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 139 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 240 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
