The Economist asks

Will Hassan Rouhani cease to be president of Iran before 1 October 2019?

Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Over the past year Iran has experienced economic crisis and domestic demonstrations, including some calling for President Rouhani's ouster (The Economist, CNBC, Foreign Policy, Voice of America).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 399
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 634
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.004
2.
-0.004
3.
-0.004
4.
-0.004
5.
-0.004

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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