The Economist asks

Will Kim Jong Un visit Seoul before 1 October 2019?

Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

No North Korean Supreme Leader has visited Seoul before, and such a visit could signal a significant step for the bilateral relationship (The Economist, NPR, NY Times).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 607
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 928
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011
3.
-0.01
4.
-0.01
5.
-0.01

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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