Started Apr 26, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?

The legal implications surrounding self-driving vehicles are of special interest to many stakeholders of the auto industry (Reuters, NY Times, The Atlantic, CNN, Popular Science). The charges for a firm or backup driver are not required to be related to the same accident for resolving this question.

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Name Probability
Yes, a firm 4%
Yes, a paid backup driver 5%
Yes, both 3%
No 88%

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