The Economist ask
In France's elections for the European Parliament, will the National Rally list receive more votes than the La République En Marche list?
Started
Apr 26, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 26, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed May 26, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
After the "Yellow Vests" protests, the 2019 European Parliament elections are seen as a key barometer for French politics and for populism in Europe more broadly (The Economist, The Economist, Gouvernement.fr).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 26 May 2019 (Results).
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 65.00% | |
No | 35.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 84 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 172 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |