Before 31 August 2019, will the weekly average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances in the U.S. fall below 4.30%?
Started
May 17, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Outcome will be determined by data from the Mortgage Bankers Association Weekly Applications Survey press release, generally published five days after the week's end at https://www.mba.org/news-research-and-resources/newsroom. For the week ending 12 April 2019, the rate was 4.44% (https://www.mba.org/2019-press-releases/april/mortgage-applications-decrease-in-latest-mba-weekly-survey-x251726).
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 June 2019 (MBA).
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 87.00% | |
| No | 13.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 63 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 99 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
