What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 20 October 2019?
Started
Jun 07, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 19, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 19, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Projections of an expanding Italian budget deficit will likely see tensions continue between Brussels and Rome (CNBC, Financial Times, Reuters, Bloomberg, Reuters). Eurozone member states must submit their Draft Budget Plans for the following year by 15 October (EC). The question will be resolved using "Spread vs bund" as reported by the Financial Times on Sunday 20 October 2019 (Financial Times).
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The question closed "Less than 2.30" with a closing date of 20 October 2019.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 2.30 | 100% | |
Between 2.30 and 2.70, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 2.70 but less than 3.10 | 0% | |
Between 3.10 and 3.50, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 3.50 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 97 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 400 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |