Which Republican presidential candidate will win the New Hampshire primary on 9 February?
Started
Jan 21, 2016 03:49PM UTC
Closed Feb 09, 2016 07:59AM UTC
Closed Feb 09, 2016 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
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This question is asking about win probability, not vote share!
For more information on the candidates, the primary process, and the primary schedule see: Candidates, How the Presidential Primary Works, Schedule.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Rand Paul | 0% | |
Marco Rubio | 21% | |
Ben Carson | 1% | |
Donald Trump | 42% | |
Jim Gilmore | 0% | |
John Kasich | 0% | |
Chris Christie | 0% | |
Rick Santorum | 0% | |
Ted Cruz | 32% | |
Jeb Bush | 4% | |
Carly Fiorina | 0% | |
Mike Huckabee | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 1971 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 3016 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |