Before 27 July 2019, how many candidates who participate at the first Democratic presidential primary debates scheduled for 26-27 June will cease to be candidates?
Started
Jun 21, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 26, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 26, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Twenty candidates are scheduled to appear in the debates, ten on 26 June and the other ten on 27 June (NBC). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that a candidate no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that a candidate is suspending his or her campaign.
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The question closed "One or two" with a closing date of 27 July 2019 (NYTimes).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Zero | 0% | |
| One or two | 48% | |
| Three or four | 33% | |
| Five or more | 19% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 314 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 523 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
