What will be the closing yield for 10-year U.S. Treasuries on 31 August 2019?
Started
Jun 21, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Aug 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries, a major benchmark for interest rates, recently fell below 2.00% in intraday trading for the first time since the 2016 presidential election (CNBC, Market Watch). This question will resolve using data from the U.S. Department of the Treasury from the "10 Yr" column, found here.
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The question closed "Less than 1.70" with a closing date of 31 August 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.70 | 97% | |
| Between 1.70 and 1.90, inclusive | 3% | |
| More than 1.90 but less than 2.10 | 0% | |
| Between 2.10 and 2.30, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 2.30 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 168 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 528 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
