What percentage of the vote will the Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) win in the next Austrian parliamentary elections?
Started
Jun 28, 2019 06:30PM UTC
Closed Sep 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The ÖVP led parliamentary elections in 2017, and went on to form a government with the Freedom Party of Austria (FPO) (CNBC, Austrian Embassy, Austrian Embassy, Reuters). However, a corruption scandal hit the FPO, leading to a government collapse and the calling of snap elections (France24, BBC, France24).
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The question closed "More than 36.00% but less than 40.00%" with a closing date of 29 September 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 32.00% | 12% | |
| Between 32.00% and 36.00%, inclusive | 61% | |
| More than 36.00% but less than 40.00% | 24% | |
| Between 40.00% and 44.00%, inclusive | 3% | |
| More than 44.00% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 114 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 252 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
