Before 1 November 2019, will Judy Shelton and/or Christopher Waller be confirmed by the Senate for the Federal Reserve Board?

Started Jul 19, 2019 05:15PM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

After two earlier prospective Fed picks dropped out of contention, President Trump announced his intention to nominate economists Judy Shelton and Christopher Waller to fill vacancies on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (BBC, The Hill, Roll Call).

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The question closed "No, the Senate will confirm neither" with a closing date of 1 November 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only Judy Shelton 0%
Yes, only Christopher Waller 0%
Yes, the Senate will confirm both 0%
No, the Senate will confirm neither 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 75
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 277
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.694
2.
-0.658
4.
-0.651
5.
-0.564

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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