Question 4 of 19 in In The News 2019
Started Aug 09, 2019 11:10PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 09, 2019 07:00AM UTC

Between 9 August 2019 and 8 September 2019, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?

Russia has seen growing protests over the disqualification of several opposition candidates from local Moscow elections scheduled for 8 September (Time, Washington Post). Despite thousands of detentions and arrests since late July, protest organizers continue to rally for support (RFERL, Moscow Times, Carnegie Moscow Center). Fatalities must all occur during the question's duration to qualify.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Name Probability
Yes 5%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In