Between 12 August 2019 and 30 November 2019, will Russia and Iran conduct any joint naval exercises in the Strait of Hormuz?

Started Aug 12, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Possible joint naval exercises between Russia and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz have been announced for sometime this year, against the backdrop of increasing tensions in the region (National Interest, Newsweek, TASS).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.50%
No 99.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 395
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 759
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011
2.
-0.011
3.
-0.011
5.
-0.011

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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