Before 20 December 2019, will the U.S. Congress present the president with legislation banning the manufacture, possession, and/or sale of high capacity magazines for firearms?

Started Aug 23, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 20, 2019 06:00PM UTC
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In the wake of mass shootings in California, Ohio, and Texas, there has been increased political pressure for various gun control measures (Newsweek, CNBC). President Trump's potential support for particular gun control measures is a matter of speculation (The Hill, Axios, CNN). For the purposes of this question, a "high capacity magazine" is one capable of holding more than ten rounds. A ban need not cover all high capacity magazines to count toward resolution of the question.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 20 December 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and the president will sign it before 1 January 2020 0%
Yes, and the president will veto it before 1 January 2020 0%
Yes, and the president will neither sign nor veto it before 1 January 2020 0%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 359
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 597
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.004499
2.
-0.004499
4.
-0.004499
5.
-0.004497

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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