Started Sep 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 01, 2019 01:00PM UTC (17 days ago)

London Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the United Kingdom (UK) leave the European Union (EU) on or before 31 October 2019?

After agreeing to an extension of the two-year Article 50 period in both March and April 2019, the UK is currently scheduled to leave the EU no later than 31 October 2019, though political battles over Brexit continue in the House of Commons (Europa, BBC).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 November 2019.  

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Answer was incorrect

Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

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-0.052
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-0.052
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-0.05
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-0.049
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-0.049