London Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the United Kingdom (UK) leave the European Union (EU) on or before 31 October 2019?

Started Sep 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

After agreeing to an extension of the two-year Article 50 period in both March and April 2019, the UK is currently scheduled to leave the EU no later than 31 October 2019, though political battles over Brexit continue in the House of Commons (Europa, BBC).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 November 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 551
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1218
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.052
4.
-0.049
5.
-0.049

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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