The Mack Institute asks

Before 31 December 2019, will a Model 3 produced in Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory 3 be delivered to a customer?

Started Sep 20, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2019 11:00PM UTC

Tesla's Gigafactory 3, located in Shanghai, China, is an object of great attention for industry observers (TESLARATI, Asia Times, TESLARATI, Electrek, InsideEVs).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 29 December 2019 (Reuters).

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 99.00%
No 1.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 105
Average for questions older than 6 months: 229
Number of Forecasts 367
Average for questions older than 6 months: 636
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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