The Mack Institute asks

Before 31 December 2019, will a Model 3 produced in Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory 3 be delivered to a customer?

Started Sep 20, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2019 11:00PM UTC

Tesla's Gigafactory 3, located in Shanghai, China, is an object of great attention for industry observers (TESLARATI, Asia Times, TESLARATI, Electrek, InsideEVs).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 29 December 2019 (Reuters).

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 99.00%
No 1.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 105
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 367
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.078
2.
-0.056
4.
-0.05
5.
-0.05

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username