Started Sep 20, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 29, 2019 11:00PM UTC

The Mack Institute asks

Before 31 December 2019, will a Model 3 produced in Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory 3 be delivered to a customer?

Tesla's Gigafactory 3, located in Shanghai, China, is an object of great attention for industry observers (TESLARATI, Asia Times, TESLARATI, Electrek, InsideEVs).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 29 December 2019 (Reuters).

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Correct Answer

Yes

Final Crowd Forecast

99%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

105

Forecast
Count

367

Crowd Brier Score

0.0814


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.078
2.
-0.056
3.
-0.054
4.
-0.05
5.
-0.05