What will be Saudi Arabia's crude oil production for October 2019, according to OPEC?

Started Sep 20, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Recent attacks on oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia have raised questions about the short- and medium-term impacts on oil production by OPEC's largest member (CNN). The question will be resolved using monthly data for "Saudi Arabia" reported in the "OPEC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d" table of the "World Oil Supply" section of OPEC's Monthly Oil Market Report (OPEC). In the August 2019 report, the relevant data can be found in Table 5.9 on page 60 in the document (OPEC). That report shows Saudi Arabia produced 9,698 thousand barrels per day (tb/d) in July 2019. The question will be suspended on 31 October 2019 and closed when the October data are released, typically in November.

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The question closed "Between 9,000 tb/d to 10,000 tb/d, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 November 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 7,000 tb/d 0%
Between 7,000 tb/d to 8,000 tb/d, inclusive 0%
More than 8,000 tb/d and less than 9,000 tb/d 0%
Between 9,000 tb/d to 10,000 tb/d, inclusive 99%
More than 10,000 tb/d 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 38
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 151
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.047
2.
-0.04
3.
-0.038
4.
-0.027
5.
-0.022

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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