Who will win the 2019 Bolivian presidential election?

Started Oct 04, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 20, 2019 10:00PM UTC

Bolivian general elections are scheduled for 20 October 2019, with a runoff scheduled for 15 December 2019 if needed (Americas Society/Council of the Americas). Incumbent President Evo Morales is running for a fourth consecutive term after the Supreme Electoral Court ruled in 2018 that term limits were unconstitutional (Al Jazeera, Reuters).

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The question closed "Evo Morales" with a closing date of 20 October 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Carlos Mesa 2%
Evo Morales 98%
Óscar Ortiz 0%
None of these 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 39
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 128
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.062
2.
-0.051
3.
-0.05
4.
-0.05
5.
-0.046

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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