Censusguyz asks:

Between 4 October 2019 and 12 May 2020, how many states will fully ban the retail sale of vaping products?

Started Oct 04, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 12, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Tags

While many American jurisdictions have imposed various restrictions on the sale of vaping products, Massachusetts became the first state to impose a full ban (MassLive, Mass.gov, FDA). When a ban would take effect is immaterial.

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The question closed "Zero" with a closing date of 13 May 2020.

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Question clarification
Issued on 10/07/19 05:29pm
We have received an inquiry as to whether a renewal of Massachusetts' ban would count for this question. If the state of Massachusetts were to create a new ban while this question is open (e.g., make it permanent), then that particular instance would count toward resolution.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Zero 100%
One or two 0%
Three or four 0%
Five or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 228
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 547
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.124
2.
-0.121
3.
-0.116
4.
-0.114
5.
-0.114

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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