Question 13 of 46 in In The News 2019
Started Oct 04, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

lekker asks:

Between 4 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, will anti-government protests in Hong Kong result in three or more fatalities?

Large anti-government protests, which began in June over a proposed extradition bill, have continued in 2019 (Time, NY Times, The Atlantic). Fatalities must all occur during the question's duration to qualify.

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Name Probability
Yes 30%

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