lekker asks:
Between 4 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, will anti-government protests in Hong Kong result in three or more fatalities?
Started
Oct 04, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Large anti-government protests, which began in June over a proposed extradition bill, have continued in 2019 (Time, NY Times, The Atlantic). Fatalities must all occur during the question's duration to qualify.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 156 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 636 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |