Before 15 March 2020, will the parliament of New Zealand pass a bill that would create a national gun register?

Started Oct 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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New Zealand passed various gun control measures after the March 2019 attacks in Christchurch (CNN, Radio New Zealand). Additional gun control legislation that, among other things, provides for a new national gun register was introduced in September 2019, but is facing resistance (Parliament of New Zealand, Newsroom, Reuters).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 March 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 156
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 454
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.789823
3.
-0.765512
4.
-0.756234
5.
-0.750485

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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