ManuPV asks:

What will be the end-of-day closing value for the U.S. dollar against the Chinese yuan on 17 April 2020?

Started Oct 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 17, 2020 06:59AM UTC

In August 2019, the yuan rose above the 7-per-dollar level for the first time in eleven years amidst increased China-US trade tensions (Reuters). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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NOTE: The originally posted Bloomberg link was dead. It has been revised to link you to the relevant data reported by Bloomberg.


The question closed "Between CNY 7.0000 and CNY 7.5000" with a closing date of 17 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than CNY 6.5000 0%
Between CNY 6.5000 and CNY 7.0000, inclusive 3%
Between CNY 7.0000 and CNY 7.5000 97%
Between CNY 7.5000 and CNY 8.0000, inclusive 0%
More than CNY 8.0000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 146
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 598
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.146578
3.
-0.126685
5.
-0.120892

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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