ManuPV asks:

Between 11 October 2019 and 12 June 2020, will the Hong Kong dollar close above HK$7.8510?

Started Oct 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 12, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Hong Kong dollar has been pegged to the U.S. dollar since 1983, and has been pegged to trade between HK$7.75 and HK$7.85 per U.S. dollar since 2005 (Reuters, Bloomberg). Ongoing anti-government protests have raised concerns about Hong Kong's economy, including the stability of the Hong Kong dollar (South China Morning Post, Reuters). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 12 June 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 164
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 394
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011
2.
-0.011
3.
-0.009
4.
-0.008

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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