Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2020, will the U.S. House of Representatives pass an article of impeachment against President Trump?

Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 19, 2019 01:00AM UTC

In September 2019, Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced the opening of an impeachment inquiry into President Trump (CNN, BBC, NPR).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 18 December 2019 (CNN).

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 100.00%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 208
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 850
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.019
2.
-1.0
3.
-0.988
4.
-0.948
5.
-0.939

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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