In Department of Homeland Security (DHS) v. Regents of the University of California, will the Supreme Court rule that the DHS's decision to wind down the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals policy (DACA) is lawful?

Started Nov 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 18, 2020 02:00PM UTC
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In 2017, the Trump administration began to phase out DACA, which postponed deportation proceedings for individuals illegally in the U.S. who were brought to the U.S. as children (Oyez). Various parties sued DHS, claiming among other things that the means DHS used to wind down the program were unlawful (SCOTUSblog, Casetext). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2019 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 18 June 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 70.00%
No 30.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 243
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.995
2.
-0.995
3.
-0.995
4.
-0.992

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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