Will Sebastián Piñera cease to be president of Chile before 1 February 2020?

Started Nov 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Challenges

Chilean President Sebastián Piñera's leadership is being challenged by street protests related to proposed increases in subway fares and other issues (MercoPress, Al Jazeera, CNN).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 February 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 121
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 260
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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