Foxes Ask:

What will be the total monetary value of victim losses reported by the FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) for 2019?

Started Nov 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The FBI's IC3 collects Internet crime complaints and publishes an annual Internet Crime Report (IC3). In 2018, IC3 reported in excess of $2.7 billion in total victim losses (FBI). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2019 and the outcome will be determined using IC3's 2019 Internet Crime Report, expected to be released in the spring of 2020 (IC3 Annual Reports).

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The question closed "More than $3.5 billion but less than $4.5 billion" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.5 billion 0%
Between $2.5 billion and $3.5 billion, inclusive 100%
More than $3.5 billion but less than $4.5 billion 0%
$4.5 billion or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 30
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 76
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.338
2.
-0.257
3.
-0.254
4.
-0.25
5.
-0.235

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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