Foxes Ask:

What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2020?

Started Nov 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 08:01AM UTC

The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury saw record lows in 2019 (CNBC, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using data from Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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NOTE 25 February 2020: The Bloomberg link is no longer available. The outcome will now be determined using data from CNBC (CNBC).


The question closed "Less than 2.00" with a closing date of 31 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 2.00 100%
Between 2.00 and 2.50, inclusive 0%
More than 2.50 but less than 3.00 0%
3.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 246
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1056
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.152
2.
-0.146
3.
-0.135
4.
-0.129

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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