Foxes Ask:

Will President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping sign a trade agreement before 1 January 2020?

Started Nov 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Despite Chile's cancellation of the Asia Pacific Economic Corridor summit, there remains optimism that China and the United States will soon sign a trade agreement of some sort (Diplomat, Al Jazeera, Bloomberg, Japan Times). As of this question's launch on 8 November 2019, a new round of tariffs on Chinese imports is scheduled to go into effect 15 December 2019 (CNBC).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 161
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 430
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.006
4.
-0.006
5.
-0.006

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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