When will Lebanon's parliament give a vote of confidence to a new government?
Started
Nov 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 11, 2020 03:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 11, 2020 03:00PM UTC
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Less than a year after Lebanon's new government received a vote of confidence in February 2019, ongoing popular protests led to Prime Minister Saad Hariri's resignation in October 2019 (Washington Post, Economist, France24).
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The question closed "Between 1 January and 29 February 2020" with a closing date of 11 February 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 January 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 1 January and 29 February 2020 | 7% | |
| Between 1 March and 30 April 2020 | 13% | |
| Between 1 May and 30 June 2020 | 13% | |
| Not before 1 July 2020 | 67% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 80 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 215 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
