The Economist asks:
How many seats in the Legislative Yuan will the Kuomintang party win in the next Taiwan parliamentary elections?
Started
Nov 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 11, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 11, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Elections for all 113 seats in the Legislative Yuan are scheduled for 11 January 2020. The Kuomingtang currently holds 35 seats (Economist, East Asia Forum).
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The question closed "Between 36 and 42 seats" with a closing date of 11 January 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 36 seats | 38% | |
| Between 36 and 42 seats | 46% | |
| Between 43 and 49 seats | 16% | |
| Between 50 and 56 seats | 0% | |
| More than 56 seats | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 74 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 150 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
